Last week wasn’t my best as I only went 2 for 4 with my picks but I did get my upset special, the Chiefs, right agin improving my record to 5-1 on the season. Let’s see if i an get back on track this week:
Against the Spread
1. Atlanta (+4) over the Dallas Cowboys
The Falcons are as hot as any team in the league right now. They are coming off a blowout win at San Francisco and a good win over the Bears. Their offense is clicking right now, especially the passing game.
The Cowboys are coming off a bye but I don’t their coaching can take advantage. Plus they are also barely beat the Chiefs the last time they played. The Falcons defense won’t miss those tackles that the Chiefs missed on Miles Austin.
This game has the makings of a shootout and will likely come down h the wire. In the end I see the Falcons offense proving too powerful for the Cowboys to handle.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (-4) over the Minnesota Vikings
The game of the week pits the undefeated Vikings against the defending Super Bowl Champs.
The Steelers have ripped off three straight wins after starting out 1-2. They finally have a dependable backfield in Rashard Mendenhall and Willie Parker. Also Ben Roethlisberger is playing the best football of his career.
The Vikings are 6-0, but have had more than their fair share of good fortune and are due for a letdown. Without top cornerback, Antoine Winfield, I expect Ben Roethlisberger to have a field day against a secondary that was lit up for over 350 yards by Joe Flacco last week.
This game will also the first outdoor game for Brett since week one, where he struggled. I see the Steelers winning this one by a touchdown.
3. Green Bay Packers (-9) over the Cleveland Browns
The Packers looked very good last week, even it was against the Lions. Any time you shut out a divisional opponent it is impressive.
The Browns on the other hand, still have not scored over 20 points this season. Derek Anderson has shown nothing and while it’s not all his fault he simply is not playing good. Also many Browns have come down with the flu and they will be without a few players this Sunday. They also lost middle linebacker, D’Qwell Jackson, the league leader in tackles last season, for the year.
The Packers should finally be able to get Greg Jennings going this week. The Browns only have one player that has more than one sack, which should allow Aaron Rodgers time to find Jennings deep a few times.
Upset Special
1. Miami Dolphins (+235) over the New Orleans Saints
This may seem crazy when you first look at it but after breaking it down it makes sense.
The Saints aren’t going to win every game and are due for a let down.
The Dolphins meanwhile, are coming off a bye and have had a extra week to prepare for the Saints high octane attack and they also had another week to add more playes and gimmicks to the Wildcat. The Saints have not seen the Wildcat before and could struggle to stop it.
The Dolphins are on a two game winning streak and if they beat the Saints they will get back to .500. If the Wildcat can keep the Saints offense off the field and the Dolphins will be able to control the clock. They did this against to perfection against the Colts but lost the game becasue they couldn’t come back in the final minutes. But now instead of Chad “noodle arm” Pennington at quarterback they have Chad Henne, who has looked great in his first two career starts. It also doesn’t hurt that the Dolphins are playing at home.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure you subscribe to my RSS feed!
I love betting on NFL. The crappy part is that I’ve lost about $ five this month. I think the most enjoyable part is doing the research and using research to find holes in the odds.