
The Cincinnati Bengals were one of the surprises of the NFL last season finishing 10-6 and winning the tough, AFC North.
In the offseason the Bengals signed Terrell Owens, Antonio Bryant, and drafted Jermaine Gresham and Jordan Shipley to help bolster their weak passing game.
All signs are looking good in Cincinnati for the first time in a long time, with many “experts” pegging them as a Super Bowl dark horse.
Though the site Cold Hard Fotball Facts would beg to differ. They broke down why the Bengals offseason additions will do little to help them and that Owens will actually hurt them.
They signed Antonio Bryant away from Tampa, a 29-year-old receiver who indicated in 2008 that he could be fairly productive (83 catches, 1,248 yards, 7 TD) when paired with a decent quarterback (Jeff Garcia). They signed free-agent Matt Jones, the rangy former Arkansas QB who finally produced a decent season with the Jaguars in 2008 (65 catches, 761 yards, 2 TD). They devoted their No. 1 pick to Oklahoma’s Jermaine Gresham, the mostly highly touted tight end in the draft this year. And they devoted their third pick to Jordan Shipley, the uber-productive wideout who was Colt McCoy’s batterymate during the most prolific passing seasons in Longhorns history.
Adding a volatile, aging, me-first receiver to the corps will do nothing but inhibit the development of these receivers, especially the rookies.
I agree with them on this one. While Owens may be a flashy addition, he isn’t much better than what they have now. In addition to the players mentioned above, they also have last year’s third round pick Andre Caldwell and former second round pick Jerome Simpson, who have potential in this league but now may be searching for a new team.
TWO – The 36-year-old Owens is well past his prime. TO was still super-productive with Dallas in 2007 (81 catches, 1,355 yards, tremendous 16.7 YPA and 15 TD). But older players hit the wall hard and fast in the NFL (helloooooo LT!) and Owens followed up his great 2007 campaign with a pair of mediocre years in Dallas and Buffalo (average 62 catches, 840 yards, 7.5 TDs).
T.O. turns 37 in December and it’s unreasonable to expect him to be an impact player. In fact, the list of all the receivers in history who produced 1,000-yard seasons after age 36 is a very short one: Jerry Rice.
I would disagree on this point. As the number two receiver I don’t think the Bengals are expecting an 1,000 yard season from Owens. If he puts up what he has averaged the past two year, I think the Bengals will be more than happy.
THREE – Owens is a dick. To use the old editor’s joke, we avoid clichés like the plague. But there is one cliché that applies here: the definition of insanity is doing something over and over expecting a different outcome. Well, we’ve seen four teams now regret putting T.O. on their roster: San Francisco, Philadelphia, Dallas and Buffalo. He shot his way out of three of those towns, with high-profile blow-ups with his Pro Bowl quarterbacks (Garcia, Donovan McNabb, Tony Romo).
So history tells us that we can expect T.O. to quickly turn on his teammates, and his fragile QB in particular, when things don’t go according to the irrational plan that he and the organization harbor in their minds. Given this history, Cincy’s decision to sign T.O. reeks of desperation or cynicism: it’s not a move to improve the product on the field; it’s a move to drum up PR and sell a couple jerseys and tickets.
I would say that it is partly a PR move, but is there really anything wrong with that. The Bengals need to keep the good vibes about the team after their playoff appearance last season. They can’t afford to go four seasons without returning to the playoffs again.
FOUR – Wide receiver is the last thing you need to build a winner. We’ve chronicled this fact through the years. Receivers are easily the least impactful players on the football field – at least as far as their correlation to victory goes. A receiver can only prove that impact player when all the other pieces are in place: great offensive line, great quarterback, solid, two-pronged offensive attack, and a legit defense. Then, and only then, do big-star receivers bring a turbo boost to your team that might lead to a title.
Otherwise, as we’ve seen throughout the ages, teams can win big and win consistently without so-called “star” receivers. The 1960s Packers won five championships without superstar receivers; the 1980s 49ers won two Super Bowls with a good but not great corps of receivers before Jerry Rice arrived on the scene; the 2000s Patriots won three Super Bowls with a corps of castoff receivers nobody heard about before or since; the 2000s Steelers won two Super Bowls with a top receiver known more for laying out defensive backs than for setting pass-catching records.
Well, fans of the Dolphins and Ravens can’t be too encouraged after reading that after adding Brandon Marshall and Anquan Boldin respectively.
FIVE – The Bengals really need a quarterback more than anything else. We know it’s not PC to point out Carson Palmer’s flaws as a quarterback. But we’ve done it anyway, most notably back in January, before Cincy’s playoff game against the Jets.
Our analysis, as you know, is as sure and true as the flow of the Ohio River past Paul Brown Stadium. So what happened? That’s right: Palmer simply did not perform at a winning level against New York’s mighty pass defense: he completed just 18 of 36 passes for 146 yards, a dreadful 4.06 YPA, 1 TD, 1 INT and a 58.3 passer rating in a 24-14 loss.
Palmer’s been given six years to prove himself as a Super Bowl-caliber quarterback. Clearly injuries have inhibited his career, especially the gruesome one he suffered in the early moments of the 2005 wildcard game against the Steelers. He also missed most of the 2008 campaign.
But the Cold, Hard Football Facts are the Cold, Hard Football Facts: and what they tell us is that Palmer doesn’t have the stuff to lead the Bengals to a Super Bowl – no matter how many repugnant, self-centered aging wideouts they put around him.
The Bengals, for their part, paired two explosive wideouts (Ochocinco and T.J. Houshmandzadeh) for pretty much the entire past decade. The Bengals, and their offense, have nothing to show for it.
They hit the nail on the head right here. Carson Palmer simply isn’t up to snuff anymore. He makes the Bengals one-dimensional, as best evidenced in the playoff game versus the Jets last year. Adding Owens isn’t suddenly going to rejuvenate him.
Overall, while I’m not as down on the Owens signing as they are, I do agree with them that the Bengals are in for a long season. As previously stated, their offense is one dimensional and that isn’t going to cut it in the AFC North. The Steelers and Ravens are improved (you can even say the same about the Browns) and will be gunning for the Bengals. I will bet you my life saving that the Bengals won’t finish 6-0 in the division again. Let’s say they finish 3-3 in the division this year (and that might be conservative) they would have to go 7-3 out of the division to make the playoffs (they were 4-6 out of division last year). Get ready for a long winter Bengals fans.

