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Bet of the Week: Week 4
Last week was all smiles for me as I went a perfect 4 for 4, making it the second week i had accomplished that feat. Let’s see if I can keep the streak going through week 4.
Week 4
1. Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) over the Cleveland Browns
This line looks too good to be true but I’m still taking it. You can count me in the Bengals believers camp. They are a fluke td away from a 3-0 start and have taken down the defending champs and the Packers in Lambeau.
Chad Ochocinco looks like the old Chad and Carson Palmer finally appears to be healthy. The biggest surprise on the offense so far has been Cedric Benson. The former Bears cast-off is salvaging his career in Cincinnati and looks like a legit NFL running back. While the offense looks good the defense also deserves a lot of credit. The unit that has plagued the Bengals for years is finally playing good defense. Antwan Odom is leading the charge with his league leading 7 sacks and Leon Hall is shutting down opposing teams best receiver.
The Bengals get the lowly Browns this week and I’m sure they will be licking their chops. The Browns have looked anemic on offense so far and are starting Derek, throws 3 picks in one half then be named the starter, Anderson at quarterback. This one won’t be close.
2. New York Giants (-8.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs
I went with the Giants as my suicide pick this week and I think they will cover as well. This team is hitting on all cylinders and I don’t think they can be stopped.
If Kevin Kolb torn the Chiefs, imagine what Eli Manning will do especially now that he has viable receivers in Steve Smith and Mario Manningham. Combining that with the combo of Jacobs and Bradshaw the Chiefs are in big trouble. The Chiefs are going to have to figure out a way to move the ball against a Giant s defense that allowed 84 total yards to the Bucs last week. With Dwayne Bowe questionable it doesn’t look promising.
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) over the San Diego Chargers
The Steelers enter this week 1-2 and know they can’t afford to go 1-3. The Charger will do their best to make this happen but the Steelers will win this game.
Ben Roethlisberger has been in spots like this before and will come up big on Sunday Night. The Chargers have been poor against the run and are without nose tackle, Jamal Williams, which will allow the Steelers to be able to get their ground game going. It was better last week but can be better. The Steelers are home in this one and won’t lose back to back home games after blowing an 11 point lead at home against the Bengals last week.
Underdog Pick
1. Baltimore Ravens (+120) over the New England Patriots
This game is hard to call an upset since the line is only two but there simply isn’t any dog that I love this week. That being said I think the Ravens will come away with this game. The Ravens actually have the better offense in this matchup and are number 2 in the league behind only the Saints.
The Pats are also likely to be without at least two out of these: Wes Welker, Vince WIlfork, and Jerod Mayo. Without Wilfork in the middle the Ravens two headed monster will be able to run up the middle all day. Without Welker the Pats will be hard pressed to score on the Ravens defense. With all the talk about the Ravens offense now a days, people seem to forget that the Ravens still boast one of the best defenses in the league.
Final Score: Ravens 24 Patriots 21
Bet of the Week: Week 3
Last week wasn’t my best effort as I only got two out of my four picks right, but I did nail my upset pick for the second straight week. Let’s see if I can rebound in week 3.
Week 3
1. New England Patriots (-4) over the Atlanta Falcons
The Pats are very upset in their performance last week against the Jets and will be out for a vengeance this week. This match up features arguably the best quarterback in the game, Tom Brady, to the next big thing in Matt Ryan.
Brady struggled last week but the Falcons defense is no where close to the Jets D. They won’t be able to apply the same amount of pressure and Brady will be able to sit back in the pocket and make throws. The return of Wes Welker should also benefit the Pats as he was sorely missed as Brady’s safety valve last week.
2. Chicago Bears (-2) over the Seattle Seahawks
The Bears were very impressive last week defeating the world champ Steelers holding them to only 14 points. Jay Cutler also proved why Chicago traded for him and delivered a great game.
The Seahawks look like they will be playing without Matt Hasslebeck this week and instead will start Seneca Wallace. The Bears defense will harass Wallace all game long and force him to make some mistakes. I see Matt Forte breaking out of his mini slump and having a big day as the Bears beat the Seahawks.
3. New York Giants (-6.5) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
These are two teams going in complete opposite directions. The Bucs have looked awful in their first two games while the Giants looks like the class of the NFC.
The Bucs secondary has been ripped to shreds the first two weeks and in come Eli Manning and he red hot Giants passing game. The emergence of Mario Manningham and Steve Smith has been a pleasant surprise for the G-Men and have made them forgot about Plaxico Burress. Also I expect Brandon Jacobs to have a big game running all over the the smallish Bucs defense. I think the Giants win this game big.
Underdog Pick
1. Detroit Lions (+190) over the Washington Redskins
I know I can’t believe I’m picking the Lions, but I got a feeling this is the week. The Redskins looked bad last week as they couldn’t even muster a touchdown to the lowly Rams. They had four trips inside the 10 yard line but could only manage three field goals and after the win were met with boos from the home crowd.
It may be only two games into the season but Jim Zorn and Jason Campbell are feeling the heat. The Lions meanwhile, have lost both games, but have been competitive in both and had the lead at halftime against the Vikings. If Stafford can improve his accuracy and hit Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith gives them some balance in the running game the Lions can pull this one out ending a 19 game losing streak. Just saw on ESPN Herman Edwards picking the Lions, might want to rethink this pick.
Final Score Lions 23 Redskins 20
Bet of the Week: Week 2
I started off the season on fire nailing all of my picks including my upset pick (Jets). Let’s see if the streak continues heading into week 2.
Week 2
1. Green Bay Packers (-9) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
I’m going with the Packers in the suicide this week and I also think they can cover. Dom Capers 3-4 defense looked terrific last week especially that secondary.
The defense also get first round pick B.J. Raji back from injury this week and he will help the run defense with his big frame clogging the middle. The Bengals offense struggled mightily against the Broncos defense, who also run a 3-4, last week and now runs into a much better defense. It will be another long day for Carson Palmer.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Jags played the Colts tough on the road last week and if not for a failed two point conversion they might be 1-0. They did that with poor play from David Garrard who gets a much easier matchup this week with the Cardinals secondary.
The Cardinals were really hurt last week by the injury to Anquan Boldin, which allowed the 49ers to double Larry Fitzgerald and forced Warner to dump the ball off to Tim Hightower. Boldin hasn’t improved much and will be limited again hindering the Cardinals offense. Another factor in Jacksonville’s favor; the Cardinals are a west coast team playing in a 1:00 p.m. game on the east coast.
3. Houston Texans (+7) vs. Tennessee Titans
Both teams are coming off loses in week one and will be looking to notch their first of the year. The Texans offense looked bad against the Jets but they can’t play any worse and will rebound this week as they get Kevin Walter back from injury.
These teams have played each other close in the past and the Texans even beat the Titans late last season. Andre Johnson didn’t do much last week and is motivated to have a big game and he ripped the the Titans for over 200 yards last year. The Texans may not win but they’ll keep it under 7.
Underdog Pick
1. New York Giants (+140) vs. Dallas Cowboys
The G-Men and Cowboys clash on Sunday Night football as the Cowboys open their new stadium. Both teams are coming off wins in week one and the winner will take an early lead in the NFC East.
The Giants secondary is a lot better than leaky Bus one and they will not allow the Boys to beat them deep three times. The key will be to get pressure on Romo and not allow him time in the pocket. The Cowboys closed Texas Stadium with a loss and I expect them to open Cowboys Stadium with a loss as well.
Bet of the Week: Week One
Week 1
1. Seattle Seahawks (-8.5) vs. St Louis Rams
As I have previously stated, the Seahawks are my suicide pick of the week and I like them big in this game. The Seahawks were decimated by injuries last season and at at full strength for this season.
Hasselbeck had an injury plagued year last season and will revert to his old form. The Rams were awful last year and haven’t done much to improve. Remember Marc Bulger is still playing quarterback for them.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Jags and Colts have been known to play tight games in the past and this one will be no different. The Jags have a healthy o-line and will be much better than they were last season.
Also the Colts are in a transitional mode. Tony Dungy is no longer running the show and it will be interesting to see how the Colts respond. The Colts may win but it won’t be by much.
3. San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Super Bowl losers are in for more than they can handle against the 49ers. I really like the 49ers this year and how they play. With Shaun Hill at the helm they should not turn the ball over as much too.
Warner and company will look to repeat their ‘08 numbers but it will be harder than expected. Anquan Boldin is banged up and Warner is getting up there in age and extremely turnover prone.
Underdog Pick
1. New York Jets (+190) vs. Houston Texans
This one may be a bit biased since I am a Jets fan but I really like the Jets chances here. I expect the Jets to play it somewhat conservative with Sanchez but they will air it out when they have to.
The Texans front seven is questionable at best and the Jets should be able to run the ball down their throats. If Darrelle Revis can shut down Andre Johnson and with Kevin Walter most likely out the Texans potent offense will be held in check.
Final Score: Jets 20, Texans 10
